Example business · made-up numbers that ship inside the workbook

The example business: 33 weeks of cash, under its floor by week 6

Its dashboard says OK. Its 13-week line says otherwise. Nothing went wrong in this business. Two ordinary things happened close together.

Example business

What the dashboard says

33.3weeks

OK - over 16 weeks of oxygen.

What the 13-week line says

36,550low point

Week 13, 13,450 under the floor

  1. Week 3

    A client pays 3,000 instead of 7,000. The missing 4,000 arrives in week 7.

  2. Week 6

    An 8,500 tax payment takes cash from 50,250 to 40,600, under the 50,000 floor.

  3. Week 13

    The low point, 36,550. Nothing went wrong. Two ordinary things happened close together.

Example business
35k45k55k65kW0W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13Floor 50,000W3W6W13 · 36,55035k45k55k65kW0W3W6W9W12Floor 50,000W3W6W13 · 36,550

Fig 1. Example business: the 13 weeks

Show the 13 weeks as a table
Example business: the 13 weeks
WeekCash inCash outEnding cashAgainst the 50,000 floor
Week 17,0008,15058,850Above the floor
Week 27,0008,15057,700Above the floor
Week 33,0008,15052,550Above the floor
Week 47,0008,15051,400Above the floor
Week 57,0008,15050,250Above the floor
Week 67,00016,65040,600Under the floor
Week 711,0008,15043,450Under the floor
Week 87,0008,15042,300Under the floor
Week 97,0008,15041,150Under the floor
Week 107,0008,15040,000Under the floor
Week 117,0008,15038,850Under the floor
Week 127,0008,15037,700Under the floor
Week 137,0008,15036,550Under the floor

Why it happens

Then two ordinary things happen

In week 3 a client who normally pays 7,000 pays 3,000. The missing 4,000 arrives in week 7. In week 6 an 8,500 tax payment lands. Together they take cash from 50,250 to 40,600 in one week. That is under the business's cash floor of 50,000 (two months of fixed costs), and it does not get back above it before the quarter ends. The lowest point is 36,550, in week 13.

Weeks of cash33.3wksOK - over 16 weeks of oxygen.
If sales stopped tomorrow15.1wksNo new sales, bills paid
Minimum cash floor50,0002 months of fixed costs
13-week low point36,550Week 13, 13,450 under the floor

Dashboard of the example workbook. Example business, made-up numbers.

Week 6 is when the business drops under its floor. The low point comes in week 13.

Test a decision

In the workbook this is one yellow cell: "New monthly commitment".

Today

33.3weeks

The dashboard says OK.

Hire at 5,000 a month

20.3weeks

The business can afford the hire.

Bad quarter (sales down 30%, costs up 5%)

13.8weeksTIGHT

Without the hire, a bad quarter already makes it tight.

Hire in a bad quarter

10.9weeksTIGHT

It can afford the hire. It can't comfortably afford the hire and a bad quarter at the same time.

That doesn't mean "don't hire". It means decide now what you would do in the bad quarter: a later start date, a part-time start, building the buffer first, or finally chasing the 36,000 that customers owe. You argue with the numbers before you have to argue with your bank balance.

The quiet version: three short Fridays in a row

Collections are planned at 7,000 a week. Here is what actually came in: 6,400, 6,600, 6,700. Each week is within 10 percent of the plan. Three in a row, all short, is different. The workbook's variance log says so: "Collections short 3 weeks running."

Flag in the variance log: Collections short 3 weeks running.

Example business
Plan 7,000 6,4006,6006,700

Fig 2. Example business: collections, plan and actual

Try it on your numbers

Free, no time limit

Get the free 13-week starter

One 13-week tab. A standard .xlsx file, checked in Apple Numbers. Not yet checked in Excel or Google Sheets. It opens with an example business already filled in, so you can see the week its cash drops under the floor before you type a number. It shows your runway in weeks and the week your cash is lowest.

Download the starter (no email)
  • A 13-week cash line with the week your cash is lowest
  • Your runway in weeks
  • No account, no bank login

Want the full system instead? See what is inside.

Get the starter and the Friday routine by email

First you'll get an email asking you to confirm your address. The starter arrives as soon as you click the link inside.

Questions about the example

Is this a real business?

No. It is made up, but every number in it is ordinary.

Why does the simulator show different numbers for a similar story?

The simulator is a quick four-slider model over 26 weeks. The workbook builds 13 weeks line by line from your categories. They use different inputs, so the same story reads differently. Run the hire test in both.

Do I need the paid workbook to do this?

No. The free starter shows the 13-week line and your lowest point. The workbook adds the floor tied to a status, the log, the scenario test and the working-capital view.